Real Forte Querceta vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Forte Querceta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
MPO
3 - 2
USR
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MAS
1 - 1
USR
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
USR
1 - 0
SAV
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ARG
1 - 3
USR
15%
19%
66%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
USR
1 - 1
URI
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
FCV
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LAV
0 - 2
FCV
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FCV
0 - 2
SER
56%
21%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MPO
1 - 2
FCV
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FCV
2 - 0
FBC
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |