UD Tomares vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Tomares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
BAR
2 - 2
UDT
24%
26%
50%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
UDT
1 - 0
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2000 |
UDT
1 - 2
CRD
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
CAC
1 - 2
UDT
25%
25%
49%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
UDT
1 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
LUC
1 - 1
SFE
28%
29%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 1
LUC
43%
27%
30%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2000 |
POR
0 - 0
LUC
45%
28%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
LUC
1 - 1
POZ
46%
29%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
2 - 2
LUC
34%
27%
40%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |