UD Tomares vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Tomares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
UDT
2 - 1
BOL
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
REC
0 - 2
UDT
44%
28%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
UDT
3 - 1
LAP
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
UDT
4 - 0
COR
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CRD
0 - 2
UDT
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
POZ
1 - 0
CDL
32%
30%
38%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
CDL
6 - 4
CIS
78%
17%
6%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SEV
0 - 1
CDL
28%
30%
42%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CDL
0 - 0
CAC
55%
26%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CDA
0 - 1
CDL
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |