UD Tomares vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Tomares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAC
2 - 0
UDT
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
UDT
1 - 3
UTR
19%
23%
58%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 0
UDT
61%
21%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MON
2 - 3
UDT
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
UDT
4 - 2
ESP
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 1
REC
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CRD
1 - 0
CDL
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
LOJ
0 - 1
CDL
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
CDL
0 - 2
XER
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 1
UTR
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |