Tzeirei Umm Al-Fahm vs Ihud Bnei Baka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
4º
1º
31
4º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tzeirei Umm Al-Fahm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
MNS
0 - 2
TUA
26%
22%
53%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
TUA
3 - 0
HBF
56%
21%
24%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
HTH
0 - 4
TUA
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
TUA
2 - 0
HBM
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +3 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MAI
2 - 0
TUA
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ihud Bnei Baka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
IBB
2 - 4
IBK
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
ARE
0 - 3
IBB
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
IBB
0 - 2
HBA
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
IBB
0 - 3
MSP
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MNS
2 - 0
IBB
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |