Tzeirei Umm Al-Fahm vs Ahva Reineh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
1º
4º
1º
9
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tzeirei Umm Al-Fahm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MSP
0 - 1
TUA
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
IBK
3 - 2
TUA
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HBA
0 - 5
TUA
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
TUA
0 - 4
HBM
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
HTH
3 - 0
TUA
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ahva Reineh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ARE
1 - 1
MAF
27%
21%
51%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ARE
0 - 2
MTH
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ARE
0 - 0
IBK
20%
19%
61%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
MSP
2 - 1
ARE
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
ARE
1 - 2
MST
19%
20%
62%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |