Tynecastle vs Heriot-Watt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
15.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tynecastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LEI
5 - 0
TYN
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
TYN
0 - 2
LOT
30%
22%
49%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
TYN
6 - 3
COL
82%
12%
7%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TWR
0 - 1
TYN
4%
9%
87%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ORM
0 - 6
TYN
17%
17%
66%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Heriot-Watt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BUR
3 - 2
HER
10%
15%
75%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HER
4 - 2
STI
63%
19%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
EYE
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
COL
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LEI
2 - 1
HER
72%
17%
12%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |