Twente / Heracles U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+78%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
8º
5º
11
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente / Heracles U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2023 |
THS
1 - 3
ACY
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
THS
1 - 1
GRA
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
FYN
1 - 0
THS
76%
14%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ADO
2 - 1
THS
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
THS
0 - 1
ADO
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 2
PEC
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PEC
0 - 2
FYN
37%
23%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ACY
0 - 1
PEC
66%
18%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PEC
2 - 3
NAC
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FYN
3 - 0
PEC
64%
19%
18%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |