Twente / Heracles U21 vs NAC Breda U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
5º
8º
5º
10
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente / Heracles U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VVV
1 - 1
THS
21%
20%
59%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
THS
2 - 0
NEC
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
GAE
0 - 3
THS
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
THS
5 - 1
ROD
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 4
THS
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ROD
4 - 0
NAC
25%
22%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
NEC
3 - 4
NAC
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 2
VVV
72%
17%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
VIT
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
NAC
4 - 1
DBS
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |