Tuv Azarganuud vs FC Ulaanbaatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
39.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
7º
5º
68
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 42 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 36 |
6º
|
94.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuv Azarganuud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ERC
3 - 1
TBF
65%
17%
18%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TBF
1 - 2
DER
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
KHA
1 - 5
TBF
21%
20%
59%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TBF
0 - 5
SPF
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
KHO
0 - 4
TBF
23%
20%
58%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ULA
2 - 0
DER
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SPF
1 - 2
ULA
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ULA
1 - 1
KHC
84%
10%
6%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BCH
0 - 12
ULA
10%
15%
76%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
ULA
4 - 1
ERC
44%
22%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |