Tuti SC vs Al-Ahly Merowe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
4º
15º
15º
25
14º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 66 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 62 |
2º
|
81.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 33 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
80% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 25 |
17º
|
51% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 23 |
18º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuti SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
TUT
0 - 1
ALA
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
ALH
3 - 0
TUT
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
TUT
0 - 0
HAW
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
WNK
1 - 0
TUT
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
TUT
57%
22%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
ASH
2 - 0
AAS
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
AAS
52%
23%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
AAS
42%
26%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
AAS
1 - 1
HAY
44%
28%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 0
AAS
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |