Tusker FC vs Mathare United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
20.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CON
1 - 2
TUS
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TUS
2 - 0
AFC
59%
25%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
TUS
1 - 0
KCB
58%
26%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
AFC
2 - 4
TUS
30%
28%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
TUS
0 - 0
CHE
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 0
SON
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SOF
2 - 1
MAT
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MAT
1 - 2
RED
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
POS
0 - 1
MAT
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
MAH
2 - 0
MAT
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |