Tusker FC vs Chemelil Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
17.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2012 |
POS
2 - 4
TUS
29%
29%
43%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
TUS
0 - 1
SOF
45%
29%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 2
TUS
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TUS
2 - 2
MAT
60%
25%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SON
0 - 1
TUS
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chemelil Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
GOR
1 - 0
CHE
52%
27%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 1
WES
49%
29%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NAI
0 - 0
CHE
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
KCB
46%
30%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ULI
2 - 1
CHE
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |