Tusker FC vs Chemelil Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
POS
1 - 1
TUS
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
TUS
1 - 2
ULI
46%
30%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
THI
0 - 2
TUS
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
TUS
1 - 0
BAN
62%
25%
14%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 1
TUS
35%
28%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chemelil Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 0
KAR
47%
29%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CON
1 - 0
CHE
35%
29%
37%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 0
POS
41%
29%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 2
KCB
45%
30%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
NAI
0 - 2
CHE
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |