TUS Makkabi vs Sparta Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
14º
7º
53
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TUS Makkabi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TUM
3 - 1
SCS
64%
18%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MAH
2 - 0
TUM
26%
22%
53%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
TUM
0 - 0
TEN
77%
14%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
TUM
20%
20%
60%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TUM
1 - 2
RFC
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 1
UNI
27%
20%
53%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NEU
2 - 1
SVS
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 2
LIC
10%
14%
77%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SCS
1 - 6
SVS
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 2
ANK
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |