TuS Komet Arsten vs SG Aumund-Vegesack analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
15º
14º
62
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BTN
3 - 1
TKA
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TKA
1 - 1
UNI
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LEH
5 - 1
TKA
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TKA
3 - 4
BRI
11%
15%
74%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TSS
1 - 2
TKA
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SG Aumund-Vegesack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 0
VAT
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OSC
1 - 1
SGA
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SGA
2 - 4
WER
88%
9%
4%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GEE
0 - 3
SGA
49%
21%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SGA
4 - 1
OBE
41%
21%
39%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |