TuS Komet Arsten vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
69%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
15º
14º
45
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
OBE
2 - 0
TKA
79%
13%
9%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TKA
1 - 2
SGA
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BTN
3 - 1
TKA
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TKA
1 - 1
UNI
31%
22%
47%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LEH
5 - 1
TKA
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GEE
2 - 4
VAT
68%
16%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OSC
0 - 4
GEE
45%
21%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +3 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GEE
5 - 0
WER
87%
9%
5%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GEE
3 - 2
WOL
45%
21%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
OBE
1 - 2
GEE
60%
18%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |