TuS Komet Arsten vs BTS Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
76.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
13º
16º
16º
39
5º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Komet Arsten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TRB
5 - 0
TKA
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 5
WER
3%
10%
88%
|
17 | 51 | 34 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
0 - 4
OBE
4%
9%
87%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TKA
2 - 4
WOL
20%
19%
62%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 4
TKA
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
BTS Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
OSC
7 - 0
BTN
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BTN
4 - 1
SGA
32%
22%
47%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +3 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAT
3 - 1
BTN
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BTN
2 - 2
BRI
39%
21%
40%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
GEE
6 - 2
BTN
42%
21%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |