Hiltrup vs SV Mesum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
16%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hiltrup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 0
TUS
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
TUS
0 - 2
SCV
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SVR
3 - 0
TUS
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
BOR
1 - 1
TUS
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 0
DSC
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SV Mesum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SVM
2 - 2
FCN
32%
21%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 1
SVM
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SVM
1 - 1
ESP
53%
20%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
WES
3 - 0
SVM
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 2
SVM
45%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |