TUS Heiligenkreuz vs Lafnitz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
45.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
14º
13º
32
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KIN
6 - 0
HGK
25%
20%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
HGK
2 - 2
FCS
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
ALL
2 - 0
HGK
65%
18%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
HGK
0 - 5
ILZ
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
KAL
2 - 1
HGK
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
UGA
1 - 5
LAF
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
LAF
2 - 0
KOF
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FEH
2 - 2
LAF
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LAF
2 - 0
LEB
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
TSH
1 - 0
LAF
53%
20%
27%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |