TuS Geretsried vs VfB Durach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Geretsried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FCE
2 - 3
TUS
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SVE
2 - 3
TUS
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
GAP
1 - 2
TUS
47%
22%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TUS
3 - 2
SCO
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MER
2 - 0
TUS
50%
23%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Durach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
DUR
1 - 1
SCO
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
DUR
1 - 2
SON
21%
21%
58%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
DUR
2 - 0
BHE
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
TSV
1 - 0
DUR
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
DUR
2 - 1
GER
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |