TuS Bovinghausen vs SpVgg Erkenschwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
16º
14º
64
2º
17º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
79% | |
|
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuS Bovinghausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TVC
0 - 3
TUS
27%
21%
52%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TUS
3 - 0
WAT
66%
17%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
WER
2 - 2
TUS
27%
21%
52%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TUS
2 - 1
BGH
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ENN
2 - 4
TUS
22%
20%
58%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
SpVgg Erkenschwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 4
ERK
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ERK
4 - 2
BGH
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 1
ERK
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ERK
3 - 1
SVR
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +3 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
3 - 3
ERK
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |