Konigsdorf vs Hennef 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
58.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
8º
8º
32
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 64% |
|
Relegation
|
16% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Konigsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BSC
0 - 1
KON
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
KON
2 - 1
BFR
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 0
KON
28%
21%
52%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
DUR
4 - 1
KON
73%
16%
12%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
KON
5 - 1
VIA
75%
15%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hennef 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
H05
0 - 5
SVE
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
H05
4 - 0
FVE
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BSC
1 - 0
H05
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
H05
2 - 4
ENG
64%
20%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
WEG
0 - 2
H05
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |