TUS Bad Waltersdorf vs Lafnitz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
62.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+433%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
13º
11º
32
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TUS Bad Waltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
KIN
3 - 3
TUS
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 2
TUS
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 1
FCS
20%
19%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
0 - 1
ILZ
14%
18%
69%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 0
TUS
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
LAF
2 - 3
HGK
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
LAF
0 - 3
UGA
32%
21%
47%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LAF
2 - 2
FEH
36%
21%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LEB
3 - 1
LAF
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LAF
1 - 4
TSH
43%
21%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |