Turris Neapolis vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MES
1 - 2
TUR
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 0
FRA
33%
28%
39%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 2
RPO
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
CAM
3 - 3
TUR
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
AVE
1 - 0
TUR
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
PAG
2 - 3
PIC
26%
26%
49%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
JUS
4 - 0
PAG
75%
17%
9%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PAG
0 - 1
MON
22%
26%
53%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PAG
2 - 2
PAL
14%
23%
63%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
RPO
1 - 1
PAG
61%
23%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |