Turris Neapolis vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
RPO
0 - 0
TUR
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
TUR
1 - 2
AVE
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 2
TUR
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
TUR
1 - 0
FCC
25%
28%
48%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 3
TUR
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TAR
0 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MES
2 - 3
FIA
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 0
MES
76%
16%
9%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LAT
1 - 0
MES
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MES
0 - 1
AVE
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |