Turris Neapolis vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
TUR
3 - 2
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
TUR
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
TUR
4 - 0
NOC
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
TUR
27%
25%
47%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TUR
6 - 0
CIT
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
NOC
1 - 0
MAR
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
ASD
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
GEL
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |