Türkgücü Friedberg vs Adler Weidenhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
10º
1º
50
8º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Türkgücü Friedberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
TUR
19%
19%
62%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
EDD
73%
15%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FER
4 - 6
TUR
33%
22%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 2
FCE
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HSC
0 - 5
TUR
19%
19%
62%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Adler Weidenhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 3
SVA
63%
18%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 0
HUN
32%
23%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 1
DIE
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
SVA
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
3 - 0
VIK
42%
22%
37%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |