Turégano vs Villarcayo Nela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turégano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SJO
2 - 4
TUR
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
INT
2 - 1
TUR
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
GRA
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 5
TUR
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TUR
8 - 0
LAS
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 5
CEB
33%
27%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
ABE
67%
20%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
COL
30%
26%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SJO
2 - 2
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |