Turégano vs Villarcayo Nela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turégano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
UNA
0 - 0
TUR
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TUR
5 - 1
SJO
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 0
GRA
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 5
TUR
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 0
LER
62%
21%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
BEC
12%
22%
66%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 0
VIL
19%
24%
57%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 3
VIL
15%
23%
61%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
PAL
5 - 2
VIL
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
UNA
16%
21%
62%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |