Turégano vs A. Candeleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turégano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
UNA
1 - 0
TUR
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
TUR
3 - 3
CAL
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
TAR
1 - 1
TUR
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
TUR
0 - 0
EST
70%
16%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 1
TUR
35%
21%
44%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
A. Candeleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SJO
7 - 1
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 1
ABE
17%
22%
61%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 0
UXA
8%
18%
75%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
TAR
4 - 1
ATL
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
UNA
5 - 0
ATL
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |