Turégano B vs Villacastín Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turégano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
TUR
1 - 5
RSI
20%
18%
62%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TUR
0 - 1
ASU
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 1
TUR
55%
21%
24%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
TUR
3 - 0
MON
19%
18%
63%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +3 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ESR
2 - 1
TUR
80%
12%
8%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Villacastín Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 0
MOZ
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 1
LAS
36%
21%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ASU
2 - 2
VIL
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
VIL
3 - 0
VAL
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
VIL
3 - 0
SMM
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +2 |