Turégano B vs Villacastín Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
33.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+157%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turégano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 2
MON
19%
18%
63%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ASU
3 - 2
TUR
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
TUR
5 - 4
CUE
25%
18%
57%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
3 - 5
TUR
31%
21%
48%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 0
CAN
50%
21%
29%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Villacastín Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MOZ
1 - 2
VIL
34%
25%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COC
4 - 1
VIL
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 3
UNA
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
VIL
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 2
ASU
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |