Turan-T vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
8º
6º
90
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 0
FCA
18%
18%
64%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2023 |
PET
3 - 2
TUR
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 0
TUR
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 2
FCK
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 1
FKN
19%
26%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
POG
4 - 2
QAR
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
ČUK
0 - 1
QAR
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
RAK
3 - 0
QAR
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 3
QAR
19%
25%
56%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 0
QAR
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |