Turan-T vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
47.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
8º
6º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 3
TUR
68%
21%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
TUR
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TUR
0 - 2
SFK
20%
26%
54%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 0
FKN
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 0
TUR
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 4
QAR
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
TUR
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SEB
1 - 1
FKN
22%
27%
51%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 0
FKN
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
FKN
1 - 2
FKQ
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |