Turan-T vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
55.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
8º
6º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 2
TUR
28%
25%
46%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ZIR
2 - 1
TUR
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 1
SFK
18%
26%
56%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
TUR
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 0
TUR
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ZIR
1 - 0
FKN
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
FKN
0 - 4
QAR
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 1
SEB
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 0
FKQ
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SUM
2 - 2
FKN
21%
27%
52%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |