TuRa Harksheide vs Türkiye Wilhelmsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
39%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
15º
14º
36
6º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuRa Harksheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ETH
7 - 0
THA
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
THA
3 - 1
HAM
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
3 - 3
THA
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
THA
2 - 2
WAN
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BUC
4 - 2
THA
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
NIE
22%
19%
59%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HEB
1 - 3
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 3
ALT
22%
23%
55%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
WIL
7 - 0
UTO
50%
20%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
WAN
1 - 3
WIL
57%
19%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |