Tupynambás vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupynambás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 2
TFC
39%
23%
39%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
TFC
2 - 1
BAH
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
BOA
1 - 0
TFC
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
TFC
0 - 4
CAL
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
URT
0 - 0
TFC
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 3
ALA
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 1
CAL
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
TOM
2 - 0
CAL
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
TOM
19%
26%
55%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 1
CRZ
7%
19%
74%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | -1 |