Série D Brazil Knock-outs 1/16
Global 1-5
Tupynambás vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupynambás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
BAH
0 - 1
TFC
63%
20%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 0
PAL
78%
14%
9%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 2
TFC
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
TFC
1 - 1
VIL
54%
24%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
GAM
1 - 3
TFC
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
LTD
2 - 6
APA
24%
24%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
APA
4 - 2
VIT
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 1
APA
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 1
APA
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |