Tupi vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ATL
5 - 3
TUP
71%
20%
9%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
TUP
3 - 4
CRB
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 1
TUP
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 0
VIL
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 1
SAM
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
AVA
3 - 0
NAU
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 0
GOI
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CRB
1 - 0
NAU
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NAU
2 - 1
ATL
49%
26%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LUV
2 - 1
NAU
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |