Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 5-3
Tupi vs Fluminense de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 1
TUP
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TUP
0 - 2
MAD
61%
22%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
TUP
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
FRI
0 - 1
TUP
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
TUP
2 - 1
FRI
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 1
TUP
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 1
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 2
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 2
RIO
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
RIO
3 - 1
FLU
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |