Tupi vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
TUP
84%
12%
5%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TUP
1 - 1
ATM
14%
20%
67%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 0
ATM
13%
19%
67%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
DEM
2 - 1
TUP
34%
25%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 2
TUP
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 4
MAD
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 0
DUQ
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DUQ
2 - 1
BON
55%
22%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
DUQ
86%
11%
4%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 1
RES
41%
23%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |