Tupi vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 0
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
TUP
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 1
TUP
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
TOM
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CAX
2 - 3
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAX
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 2
TOM
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 0
JUV
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 2
CAX
65%
22%
14%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |