Tupi vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
DEM
2 - 1
TUP
34%
25%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AMF
1 - 2
TUP
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TUP
3 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 3
TUP
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 5
ATM
7%
15%
78%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 2
CRZ
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
USC
0 - 3
ATM
10%
18%
72%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 0
DEM
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
ATM
11%
18%
70%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |