Tupi RS vs Nova Prata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SLU
0 - 0
TUP
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 2
PAN
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
TUP
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 2
BRA
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 3
TUP
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Prata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 3
GLO
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
ESP
1 - 1
NOV
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 3
NOV
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 2
SLU
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 4
SAN
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |