Tupã vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 4
TUP
36%
24%
39%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
TUP
1 - 2
ASS
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
TAN
4 - 1
TUP
35%
25%
39%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
TUP
20%
23%
58%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TUP
1 - 0
OLI
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
SAN
4 - 1
OLI
32%
25%
44%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
ASS
1 - 0
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
TAN
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
TUP
20%
23%
58%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
OLI
1 - 1
SAN
66%
20%
15%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |