Tupã vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
TUP
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 1
DES
60%
20%
21%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TUP
3 - 0
TAN
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TAN
1 - 3
TUP
21%
22%
58%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
DES
3 - 1
TUP
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
ECN
54%
24%
23%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ECN
1 - 1
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAU
1 - 2
SAN
29%
22%
50%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
DIA
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 4
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |