Tupã vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 0
TUP
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
TUP
53%
25%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 1
FLA
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 2
GRÊ
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
TUP
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
OSV
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
3 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 2
RIO
21%
26%
54%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +3 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
TAU
5 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
TUP
29%
26%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |