Tupã vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 2
GRÊ
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
TUP
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 3
TUP
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
PRI
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
TUP
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 1
ITA
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 5
JUV
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 1
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
FLA
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 2
INT
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |