Tupã vs Flamengo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 1
TUP
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
5 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SER
0 - 2
TUP
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 2
VOT
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
3 - 1
TUP
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
JUV
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 1
AGU
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 0
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
SER
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 0
COT
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |